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Data studyAge and creative achievement · Version 2026.10

How old were history’s great minds at their breakthrough?

We dated the work behind 663 prizes in physics, chemistry and medicine (1901-2026) and the best-known work of 132 historical geniuses, from Newton to Darwin. When did they break through, how long did the prize take, and who bloomed late? Eight charts, every person in the CSV.

About this study

Report type
Data study from public records
Data
Li et al. 2019 prize-winning papers; Nobel Prize API; Nobel committee documents; Wikidata; Cox (1926)
Covers
663 dated breakthroughs (659 laureates) and 132 historical geniuses
Years
Prizes 1901-2026, including the 2026 laureates
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (our tables and CSV); source data CC0
Version
2026.10
Sources
9
Short answer

Great scientific breakthroughs are made at a median age of 39. According to IQ Metrics’ analysis of 663 prize-winning discoveries in physics, chemistry and medicine (prizes 1901-2026), the typical laureate did the work that won the prize at 39: physicists at 35, chemists at 39 and medical scientists at 39. 44% came at 40 or older and 11% at 50 or older. The prize now follows the work by a median 30 years. Data: Li et al. 2019 and the Nobel Prize API, October 2026.

663 breakthroughsPrizes 1901-2026Median age 39CC BY 4.0
39median age at the prize-winning work
11%of breakthroughs came at 50 or older
30years from work to prize, median for prizes of 2020-2026

01 Key findings

  1. Median age 39. Across 663 dated breakthroughs that won a prize in physics, chemistry or medicine (1901-2026), the median age at the work was 39: physicists at 35, chemists at 39 and medical scientists at 39.IQ Metrics analysis of Li et al. 2019 and the Nobel Prize API, 663 breakthroughs
  2. Breakthroughs come later than they used to. Work done before 1920: median 36, 31% at 40 or older. Work done from 1980 on: median 41, 61% at 40 or older. Physics stayed near 35 for work up to 1979, then rose to 41.IQ Metrics analysis; 94 and 171 breakthroughs in the two periods
  3. The wait for the prize grew from 8 to 30 years. For prizes of 1920-1939 the median gap between the work and the prize was 8 years; for prizes of 2020-2026 it was 30 years, and the median laureate was 71 in the prize year.IQ Metrics analysis; 69 and 52 breakthroughs in those periods
  4. Late bloomers are not rare. 11% of the breakthroughs came at 50 or older. The oldest: John B. Fenn, 72 at the work in 1989. The youngest: Theodore W. Richards, 19 in 1887.IQ Metrics analysis of 663 breakthroughs
  5. Women and men broke through at about the same age: a median of 37 for the 27 breakthroughs by women and 39 for the 636 by men.Sex as recorded by the Nobel Prize API; IQ Metrics analysis
  6. The historical geniuses were older at their best-known work: a median of 41.5 for 132 scientists, writers, philosophers, artists and composers born 1450-1850 (Cox 1926).Best-known work and its date: Wikidata; people: Cox 1926 via IQ Metrics

02 The short answer in four numbers

39

Median age at the prize-winning work: 663 breakthroughs in physics, chemistry and medicine, 1901-2026.

IQ Metrics, 2026
44%

of the breakthroughs were made at 40 or older.

IQ Metrics, 2026
11%

came at 50 or older: the late bloomers.

IQ Metrics, 2026
30 yrs

median wait from the work to the prize, prizes of 2020-2026 (8 years for 1920-1939).

IQ Metrics, 2026

The lone young genius is the exception in our data. The typical prize-winning breakthrough came at 39, and the age keeps rising.

Leon Falkner, IQ Metrics Research

03 At what age do scientists make their greatest discoveries?

We dated the prize-winning work of 663 laureate-prizes in physics, chemistry and physiology or medicine, from the first prizes in 1901 to the 2026 laureates [1] [3] [2]. The age is the year of the work minus the year of birth. The median is 39; the middle half of the breakthroughs fell between 33 and 44.

Figure 1

How old the laureates were when they did the prize-winning work

All 663 breakthroughs in physics, chemistry and medicine whose year we could date (prizes 1901-2026), in five-year age bands. 1 under 20 is in the first band.

Source: Prize-winning papers: Li et al. 2019 [1]; 2017-2026 and gaps: Nobel committee documents [3]; birth years: Nobel Prize API [2]; IQ Metrics analysis

Data table
fromtobreakthroughs
202516
253059
3035146
3540147
4045142
455080
505547
556019
60656
65700
70751
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The spread is wide: 11% of the breakthroughs came before 30, 44% at 40 or older and 11% at 50 or older. Albert Einstein was 26 in 1905, the year of the light-quanta paper behind the 1921 physics prize.

04 What is the peak age of creativity in each field?

Physicists made their prize-winning breakthroughs youngest (median 35, 95% interval 34 to 38), then chemists (39, 37 to 41) and medical scientists (39, 39 to 40). The gap between fields is a few years; the spread inside each field is decades wide.

Figure 2

Age at the breakthrough, field by field

Each dot is one person; the shape shows where the ages bunch; the navy tick is the median. Laureates: the year of the prize-winning work. The historical geniuses of Cox (1926): the year of the best-known work recorded in Wikidata, a different measure.

Age in the year of the work

Source: Laureates: Li et al. 2019 [1], Nobel committee documents [3], Nobel Prize API [2]; best-known works: Wikidata [5]; geniuses: Cox 1926 via IQ Metrics [6]; IQ Metrics analysis

Data table
groupitemvalue
Physics laureatesGuglielmo Marconi21
Physics laureatesSubrahmanyan Chandrasekhar21
Physics laureatesBrian D. Josephson22
Physics laureatesFrank Wilczek22
Physics laureatesOwen Willans Richardson22
Physics laureatesLawrence Bragg23
Physics laureatesPaul A.M. Dirac23
Physics laureatesH. David Politzer24
Physics laureatesMurray Gell-Mann24
Physics laureatesWerner Heisenberg24
Physics laureatesRussell A. Hulse25
Physics laureatesWolfgang Pauli25
Physics laureatesAlbert Einstein26
Physics laureatesDonald A. Glaser26
Physics laureatesDonna Strickland26
Physics laureatesErnst Ruska26
Physics laureatesGerardus 't Hooft26
Physics laureatesHiroshi Amano26
Physics laureatesJohn M. Martinis26
Physics laureatesRobert Schrieffer26
Physics laureatesAnthony J. Leggett27
Physics laureatesBen R. Mottelson27
Physics laureatesDouglas D. Osheroff27
Physics laureatesJohn H. Van Vleck27
Physics laureatesLeon N. Cooper27
Physics laureatesCarl D. Anderson28
Physics laureatesHideki Yukawa28
Physics laureatesMartin Ryle28
Physics laureatesNiels Bohr28
Physics laureatesAdam G. Riess29
Physics laureatesAlexei Abrikosov29
Physics laureatesCharles Glover Barkla29
Physics laureatesDidier Queloz29
Physics laureatesErnest T.S. Walton29
Physics laureatesGustav Hertz29
Physics laureatesIl´ja M. Frank29
Physics laureatesMakoto Kobayashi29
Physics laureatesRobert Woodrow Wilson29
Physics laureatesRudolf Mössbauer29
Physics laureatesSheldon Glashow29
Physics laureatesVictor F. Hess29
Physics laureatesWilhelm Wien29
Physics laureatesAnne L’Huillier30
Physics laureatesErnest Lawrence30
Physics laureatesEugene Wigner30
Physics laureatesF. Duncan M. Haldane30
Physics laureatesJ. Michael Kosterlitz30
Physics laureatesJames Peebles30
Physics laureatesJohn Clauser30
Physics laureatesJulian Schwinger30
Physics laureatesKonstantin Novoselov30
Physics laureatesManne Siegbahn30
Physics laureatesMelvin Schwartz30
Physics laureatesPavel A. Cherenkov30
Physics laureatesRichard P. Feynman30
Physics laureatesTsung-Dao Lee30
Physics laureatesAage N. Bohr31
Physics laureatesArthur H. Compton31
Physics laureatesBrian P. Schmidt31
Physics laureatesGiorgio Parisi31
Physics laureatesHannes Alfvén31
Physics laureatesIvar Giaever31
Physics laureatesMarie Curie31
Physics laureatesMichel H. Devoret31
Physics laureatesPieter Zeeman31
Physics laureatesRiccardo Giacconi31
Physics laureatesArno Penzias32
Physics laureatesDavid J. Gross32
Physics laureatesFrançois Englert32
Physics laureatesGustaf Dalén32
Physics laureatesLouis de Broglie32
Physics laureatesNicolay G. Basov32
Physics laureatesPercy W. Bridgman32
Physics laureatesPhilipp Lenard32
Physics laureatesAndrea Ghez33
Physics laureatesCharles K. Kao33
Physics laureatesEdward V. Appleton33
Physics laureatesEnrico Fermi33
Physics laureatesHans Bethe33
Physics laureatesHorst L. Störmer33

First 80 of 790 rows; the Data button gives all of them.

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For the geniuses Catharine Cox rated in 1926 [6], born between 1450 and 1850, there is no prize-winning paper to date, so we took the best-known work Wikidata records for each person and its date [5]. That is a different measure: a famous book, theory or composition, not a prize citation. Cox’s scientists produced theirs at a median 44 (20 people), the philosophers at 43 (16), the writers at 40 (69) and the artists and composers at 38.5 (22).

05 Are great discoveries made later than they used to be?

Yes, in all three fields. Work done before 1920 was made at a median 36; work done from 1980 on at 41. The share made at 40 or older rose from 31% to 61%, and the share made before 30 fell from 24% to 4%.

Figure 3

The breakthrough age has risen in all three fields

Median age at the prize-winning work done before 1920 (94 breakthroughs) and from 1980 on (171).

PhysicsAll three fieldsChemistry, medicine

Source: Li et al. 2019 [1]; Nobel committee documents [3]; Nobel Prize API [2]; IQ Metrics analysis

Data table
fieldWork before 1920Work from 1980
Physics3541
Chemistry3642
Medicine36.540
All three fields3641
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Physics had a young golden age: in the 1920s quantum mechanics was built largely by people in their twenties [7] (in our data Heisenberg was 24 and Dirac 23 in 1925). The physics breakthrough age stayed near 35 for work up to 1979, then rose to 41 for work from 1980 on. Chemistry rose step by step, from 36 to 42; medicine moved least, from 36.5 to 40.

Figure 4

Median breakthrough age by field and period of the work

Median age in the year of the prize-winning work. Blank: fewer than five breakthroughs in that cell. Darker = older.

Source: Li et al. 2019 [1]; Nobel committee documents [3]; Nobel Prize API [2]; IQ Metrics analysis

Data table
fieldBefore 19201920-19391940-19591960-19791980-19992000 on
Physics35333534.540
Chemistry3637.538414244
Medicine36.53940394042.5
All three fields363638384143.5
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Jones and Weinberg (2011) found this rise first, in 525 laureates up to 2008: the mean age at the prize-winning work grew by 13.4 years in physics, 10.2 in chemistry and 7.4 in medicine between work done by 1905 and work done from 1985. They link it to longer training and to the end of the theory-driven quantum era [7]. Our data, built independently from other sources and running to 2026, show a rise in every field too: about the same in chemistry (+11.2 years) but smaller in physics (+6.9) and medicine (+5.4). Only 18 to 19 breakthroughs per field date from 1905 or earlier, and the two studies date the work by different rules, so treat the early numbers as rough:

Table 1

Our numbers next to Jones and Weinberg (2011)

MeasureJones & WeinbergIQ Metrics
Physics: rise in mean age, work by 1905 to work from 1985+13.4 years+6.9 years (n = 19, 37)
Chemistry: rise in mean age, work by 1905 to work from 1985+10.2 years+11.2 years (n = 18, 45)
Medicine: rise in mean age, work by 1905 to work from 1985+7.4 years+5.4 years (n = 18, 36)
Physics: work by 1905 done before 4060%63% (n = 19)
Chemistry: work by 1905 done before 4069%89% (n = 18)
Medicine: work by 1905 done before 4063%72% (n = 18)
Physics: mean age of work from 1980 on4842.1 (n = 53)

Source: Jones and Weinberg 2011, 525 laureates, prizes 1901-2008 [7]; ours: IQ Metrics analysis of 663 breakthroughs [1] [3] [2]

06 How long after the breakthrough does the prize come?

Longer and longer, after a start that honoured older work. The first prizes, 1901-1919, went partly to discoveries made before the prize existed: a median wait of 13 years. For prizes of 1920-1939 the median laureate waited 8 years after the work; for prizes of 2020-2026, 30 years. Over all 663 breakthroughs the median wait is 18 years and the longest 59.

Figure 5

Years from the breakthrough to the prize, by period of the prize

Median number of years between the prize-winning work and the prize, for the breakthroughs we could date. Breakthroughs per period: 1901-1919: 56, 1920-1939: 69, 1940-1959: 84, 1960-1979: 122, 1980-1999: 126, 2000-2019: 154, 2020-2026: 52.

Source: Li et al. 2019 [1]; Nobel committee documents [3]; Nobel Prize API [2]; IQ Metrics analysis

Data table
labelvalue
1901-191913
1920-19398
1940-195913.5
1960-197914.5
1980-199919.5
2000-201926
2020-202630
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The longest wait was Karl von Frisch’s: 28 at the work in 1914 and 87 in the prize year, 1973. The prize is not given after death, so a long wait also takes a long life.

Figure 6

The longest waits: age at the work and age in the prize year

The 12 laureates with the longest gap between the prize-winning work and the prize.

Age at the workAge in the prize year

Age in years

Source: Li et al. 2019 [1]; Nobel committee documents [3]; Nobel Prize API [2]; IQ Metrics analysis

Data table
laureateAge at the workAge in the prize year
Karl von Frisch (Medicine 1973)2887
Syukuro Manabe (Physics 2021)3390
Peyton Rous (Medicine 1966)3187
Roger Penrose (Physics 2020)3489
Ernst Ruska (Physics 1986)2680
James Peebles (Physics 2019)3084
Vitaly L. Ginzburg (Physics 2003)3487
Subrahmanyan Chandrasekhar (Physics 1983)2173
John H. Van Vleck (Physics 1977)2778
Sir John B. Gurdon (Medicine 2012)2979
John Clauser (Physics 2022)3080
François Englert (Physics 2013)3281
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07 Who were the youngest discoverers, and who bloomed late?

Theodore W. Richards was the youngest at the breakthrough: 19 in 1887. At the other end, John B. Fenn was 72. 11% of all breakthroughs, about one in 9, came at 50 or older.

Table 2

The youngest and the oldest at the breakthrough

Laureate (prize)Prize-winning workYearAge thenAge at prize
YoungestTheodore W. Richards (Chemistry 1914)accurate determinations of the atomic weight of a large number of …18871946
YoungestGuglielmo Marconi (Physics 1909)contributions to the development of wireless telegraphy18952135
YoungestSubrahmanyan Chandrasekhar (Physics 1983)the structure and evolution of the stars19312173
YoungestJoshua Lederberg (Medicine 1958)genetic recombination and the organization of the genetic material …19462133
YoungestWilhelm Ostwald (Chemistry 1909)catalysis and for his investigations into the fundamental …18752256
YoungestOwen Willans Richardson (Physics 1928)the thermionic phenomenon and especially for the discovery of the …19012249
OldestJohn B. Fenn (Chemistry 2002)ionisation methods for mass spectrometry19897285
OldestRobert F. Furchgott (Medicine 1998)nitric oxide as a signalling molecule in the cardiovascular system19806482
OldestCharles J. Pedersen (Chemistry 1987)development and use of molecules with structure-specific …19676383
OldestEgas Moniz (Medicine 1949)the therapeutic value of leucotomy in certain psychoses19376375
OldestMasatoshi Koshiba (Physics 2002)pioneering contributions to astrophysics, in particular for the …19876176
OldestOtto Hahn (Chemistry 1944)the fission of heavy nuclei19396065

Source: Work years: Li et al. 2019 [1] and Nobel committee documents [3]; birth years and prize motivations: Nobel Prize API [2]; IQ Metrics analysis

08 Do women make their breakthroughs at the same age as men?

Yes, within the noise. The 27 breakthroughs by women in the data came at a median 37 (middle half 32 to 42.5); the 636 by men at 39. Women are 4.1% of the data, so their figures move with every new laureate.

Figure 7

Women and men: at what age the breakthrough came

Share of each sex's breakthroughs in each age band (percent of 27 by women, of 636 by men). The women's side is 27 people, so one person moves a band by 3.7 points.

Source: Sex and birth year: Nobel Prize API [2]; work years: Li et al. 2019 [1] and Nobel committee documents [3]; IQ Metrics analysis

Data table
age_bandWomenMen
60+01.1
55-5903
50-543.77.2
45-497.412.3
40-4429.621.1
35-3925.922
30-3425.921.9
25-293.79.1
Under 253.72.4
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Table 3

Every woman in the data, in the order of the breakthrough

Marie CuriePhysics189831190336
Marie CurieChemistry189831191144
Irène Joliot-CurieChemistry193437193538
Gerty CoriMedicine193539194751
Dorothy Crowfoot HodgkinChemistry194535196454
Barbara McClintockMedicine194846198381
Maria Goeppert MayerPhysics194943196357
Gertrude B. ElionMedicine195234198870
Rita Levi-MontalciniMedicine195243198677
Rosalyn YalowMedicine195635197756
Tu YouyouMedicine197242201585
Elizabeth H. BlackburnMedicine197830200961
Ada E. YonathChemistry198041200970
Christiane Nüsslein-VolhardMedicine198038199553
Françoise Barré-SinoussiMedicine198336200861
Carol W. GreiderMedicine198524200948
Donna StricklandPhysics198526201859
Anne L’HuillierPhysics198830202365
Linda B. BuckMedicine199144200457
Frances H. ArnoldChemistry199337201862
Carolyn BertozziChemistry199731202256
Andrea GhezPhysics199833202055
Mary E. BrunkowMedicine200140202564
May-Britt MoserMedicine200542201451
Katalin KarikóMedicine200550202368
Emmanuelle CharpentierChemistry201143202052
Jennifer A. DoudnaChemistry201248202056

Source: Sex, birth and prize years: Nobel Prize API [2]; work years: Li et al. 2019 [1] and Nobel committee documents [3]

09 How old were Newton, Darwin and Einstein at their breakthrough?

Choose a name to see the age at the breakthrough, the prize and the wait, with a sentence you can copy. Laureates are dated by the prize-winning work; the historical geniuses by their best-known work in Wikidata [5].

Age26

Albert Einstein, 1905

Year of the prize-winning work: Li et al. 2019 (prize-winning paper; checked against nobelprize.org).

Breakthroughthe law of the photoelectric effect
1905
Age then
26
field median 35
PrizePhysics
1921
Age at the prize
42
a wait of 16 years

Albert Einstein was 26 in 1905, the year of the work that won the 1921 Nobel Prize in Physics: the law of the photoelectric effect. The prize came 16 years later, when Einstein was 42.

How to read it: the age is the year of the work minus the year of birth, so it can be one year more than the age on the day. Prize years are the year the prize is named for [2].

A breakthrough takes decades; a test takes minutes. See where your own reasoning stands: take the IQ test 

Figure 8

Age at the breakthrough by year of birth, from Copernicus to the 2026 laureates

Each dot is one person: the year of birth across, the age at the breakthrough up. 795 people.

Laureates in physics, chemistry, medicine (prize-winning work)Historical geniuses of Cox 1926 (best-known work)

Source: Li et al. 2019 [1]; Nobel committee documents [3]; Nobel Prize API [2]; Wikidata [5]; Cox 1926 via IQ Metrics [6]; IQ Metrics analysis

Data table
personbirth_yearage_at_workgroup
Leonardo da Vinci145238cox
Albrecht Dürer147144cox
Nicolaus Copernicus147370cox
Ludovico Ariosto147442cox
Michelangelo147529cox
Francesco Guicciardini148338cox
Raphael148329cox
Titian149048cox
Ignatius of Loyola149157cox
François Rabelais149440cox
Gerolamo Cardano150144cox
Luís de Camões152448cox
Joseph Justus Scaliger154066cox
Torquato Tasso154436cox
Miguel de Cervantes154758cox
John Napier155064cox
Edmund Spenser155238cox
Lope de Vega156257cox
William Shakespeare156438cox
Tommaso Campanella156855cox
Ben Jonson157229cox
Johannes Kepler157247cox
Peter Paul Rubens157732cox
Thomas Hobbes158863cox
Pierre Gassendi159232cox
Nicolas Poussin159444cox
René Descartes159641cox
Anthony van Dyck159936cox
Diego Velázquez159957cox
Pedro Calderón de la Barca160051cox
Pierre Corneille160630cox
Rembrandt160636cox
John Milton160859cox
Antoine Arnauld161248cox
Molière162247cox
Blaise Pascal162319cox
Robert Boyle162734cox
John Bunyan162850cox
Christiaan Huygens162944cox
John Dryden163137cox
Benedictus de Spinoza163245cox
John Locke163258cox
Nicolas Malebranche163836cox
Jean Racine163938cox
Isaac Newton164344cox
Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz164664cox
Pierre Bayle164750cox
Daniel Defoe166059cox
Jonathan Swift166759cox
Joseph Addison167241cox
George Berkeley168525cox
George Frideric Handel168539cox
Johann Sebastian Bach168559cox
Alexander Pope168824cox
Montesquieu168959cox
Voltaire169465cox
William Hogarth169745cox
Carl Linnaeus170728cox
Georges-Louis Leclerc, Comte de Buffon170742cox
Samuel Johnson170946cox
David Hume171128cox
Jean-Jacques Rousseau171250cox
Denis Diderot171338cox
Christoph Willibald von Gluck171448cox
Jean Le Rond d'Alembert171734cox
Johann Joachim Winckelmann171746cox
Adam Smith172353cox
Joshua Reynolds172346cox
Friedrich Gottlieb Klopstock172424cox
Immanuel Kant172457cox
Oliver Goldsmith172838cox
Gotthold Ephraim Lessing172950cox
Joseph Haydn173262cox
Pierre-Augustin de Beaumarchais173246cox
Joseph-Louis Lagrange173652cox
Edward Gibbon173739cox
Antoine Lavoisier174346cox
Jean-Antoine-Nicolas de Caritat de Condorcet174338cox
Johann Gottfried Herder174428cox
Johann Wolfgang von Goethe174959cox

First 80 of 795 rows; the Data button gives all of them.

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Table 4

How old were they? Famous minds and the year of their breakthrough

Leonardo da VinciVitruvian Man149038–
MichelangeloDavid150429–
William ShakespeareHamlet160238–
Blaise PascalPascal’s calculator164219–
Isaac NewtonPhilosophiæ Naturalis Principia Mathematica168744–
Gottfried Wilhelm LeibnizThéodicée171064–
VoltaireCandide175965–
Immanuel KantCritique of Pure Reason178157–
Wolfgang Amadeus MozartThe Magic Flute179135–
Johann Wolfgang von GoetheFaust180859–
Ludwig van BeethovenSymphony No. 9182656–
Charles DarwinOn the Origin of Species185950–
Victor HugoLes Misérables186260–
Marie Curieresearch on radioactivity18983136 (1903)
Max Planckenergy quanta19014360 (1918)
Ernest Rutherfordthe disintegration of the elements19023137 (1908)
Albert Einsteinthe law of the photoelectric effect19052642 (1921)
Peyton Roustumour-inducing viruses19103187 (1966)
Lawrence Braggcrystal structure by X-rays19132325 (1915)
Niels Bohrthe structure of atoms19132837 (1922)
Paul A.M. Diracnew forms of atomic theory (the electron equation)19252331 (1933)
Werner Heisenbergthe creation of quantum mechanics19252431 (1932)
Erwin Schrödingernew forms of atomic theory (wave mechanics)19263946 (1933)
Linus Paulingthe nature of the chemical bond19282753 (1954)
Subrahmanyan Chandrasekharthe structure and evolution of the stars19312173 (1983)
Enrico Ferminew radioactive elements made by neutrons19343337 (1938)
Dorothy Crowfoot Hodgkinstructures of biochemical substances by X-rays19453554 (1964)
Frederick Sangerthe structure of insulin19452740 (1958)
Barbara McClintockmobile genetic elements19484681 (1983)
Richard P. Feynmanquantum electrodynamics19483047 (1965)
William B. Shockleythe transistor effect19493946 (1956)
Francis Crickthe molecular structure of DNA19533746 (1962)
James Watsonthe molecular structure of DNA19532534 (1962)
Peter Higgsthe mechanism behind the mass of particles19643584 (2013)
Frederick SangerDNA sequencing19654762 (1980)
Roger Penroseblack hole formation in general relativity19653489 (2020)
Arthur Ashkinoptical tweezers19704896 (2018)
John B. Goodenoughlithium-ion batteries19805897 (2019)
Geoffrey Hintonmachine learning with artificial neural networks19833677 (2024)
Donna Stricklandultra-short, high-intensity laser pulses19852659 (2018)
Andrea Ghezthe black hole at the centre of our galaxy19983355 (2020)
Karl Deisserothlight-gated ion channels and optogenetics20053455 (2026)
Katalin Karikóthe base modifications behind mRNA vaccines20055068 (2023)
Emmanuelle CharpentierCRISPR genome editing20114352 (2020)
Jennifer A. DoudnaCRISPR genome editing20124856 (2020)
Demis Hassabisprotein structure prediction20214548 (2024)

Source: Laureates: prize-winning work (Li et al. 2019 [1], Nobel committee documents [3]); others: best-known work in Wikidata [5]; birth years: Nobel Prize API [2] and Wikidata. Linked names have an IQ Metrics profile.

10 Does the breakthrough age match the age when the brain is sharpest?

No. In our peak brain age study of 756,948 adults, overall test performance peaked at 25, pattern reasoning at 29 and math reasoning at 36 [8]. The median prize-winning breakthrough came at 39, after all three. A breakthrough needs more than speed: years of training, a field ready for the idea and the work itself. Jones and Weinberg tie the later breakthroughs to the growing body of knowledge a scientist must master first [7].

At what age is your brain sharpest?

Peak ages for 15 thinking skills, from 756,948 adults who took the same online tests.

See the peak brain age study

The age at the prize itself, prize by prize and for 21 top science prizes, is in our study of the universities with the most prize winners [9]; the IQ estimates behind Cox’s geniuses are in the IQ of 301 historical geniuses [6].

11 How old were the laureates of 2017-2026?

Li et al. end in 2016, so we dated the 76 laureates since then ourselves, from the prize committees’ scientific background documents [3]. Their median age at the work was 40 and at the prize 72.

Table 5

The laureates of 2017-2026: age at the work and at the prize

Henri B. Kagan (Chemistry)20261986569640
Kenso Soai (Chemistry)20261990407636
Francis Halzen (Physics)20261988448238
Georg Nagel (Medicine)20262002497324
Karl Deisseroth (Medicine)20262005345521
Peter Hegemann (Medicine)20261991377235
Omar M. Yaghi (Chemistry)20251995306030
Richard Robson (Chemistry)20251989528836
Susumu Kitagawa (Chemistry)20251992417433
John Clarke (Physics)20251984428341
John M. Martinis (Physics)20251984266741
Michel H. Devoret (Physics)20251984317241
Fred Ramsdell (Medicine)20252001416524
Mary E. Brunkow (Medicine)20252001406424
Shimon Sakaguchi (Medicine)20251995447430
David Baker (Chemistry)20242003416221
Demis Hassabis (Chemistry)2024202145483
John Jumper (Chemistry)2024202136393
Geoffrey Hinton (Physics)20241983367741
John J. Hopfield (Physics)20241982499142
Gary Ruvkun (Medicine)20241993417231
Victor Ambros (Medicine)20241993407131
Aleksey Yekimov (Chemistry)20231980357843
Louis Brus (Chemistry)20231983408040
Moungi Bawendi (Chemistry)20231993326230
Anne L’Huillier (Physics)20231988306535
Ferenc Krausz (Physics)20231997356126
Pierre Agostini (Physics)20231994538229
Drew Weissman (Medicine)20232005466418
Katalin Karikó (Medicine)20232005506818
Carolyn Bertozzi (Chemistry)20221997315625
K. Barry Sharpless (Chemistry)20221999588123
Morten Meldal (Chemistry)20222001476821
Alain Aspect (Physics)20221981347541
Anton Zeilinger (Physics)20221997527725
John Clauser (Physics)20221972308050
Svante Pääbo (Medicine)20221997426725
Benjamin List (Chemistry)20212000325321
David W.C. MacMillan (Chemistry)20212000325321
Giorgio Parisi (Physics)20211979317342
Klaus Hasselmann (Physics)20211976459045
Syukuro Manabe (Physics)20211964339057
Ardem Patapoutian (Medicine)20212002355419
David Julius (Medicine)20211997426624
Emmanuelle Charpentier (Chemistry)2020201143529
Jennifer A. Doudna (Chemistry)2020201248568
Andrea Ghez (Physics)20201998335522
Reinhard Genzel (Physics)20201996446824
Roger Penrose (Physics)20201965348955
Charles M. Rice (Medicine)20201996446824
Harvey J. Alter (Medicine)20201972378548
Michael Houghton (Medicine)20201989407131
Akira Yoshino (Chemistry)20191985377134
John B. Goodenough (Chemistry)20191980589739
M. Stanley Whittingham (Chemistry)20191974337845
Didier Queloz (Physics)20191995295324
James Peebles (Physics)20191965308454
Michel Mayor (Physics)20191995537724
Gregg L. Semenza (Medicine)20191989336330
Sir Peter J. Ratcliffe (Medicine)20191991376528
William G. Kaelin Jr (Medicine)20191995386224
Frances H. Arnold (Chemistry)20181993376225
George P. Smith (Chemistry)20181985447733
Sir Gregory P. Winter (Chemistry)20181990396728
Arthur Ashkin (Physics)20181970489648
Donna Strickland (Physics)20181985265933
Gérard Mourou (Physics)20181985417433
James P. Allison (Medicine)20181996487022
Tasuku Honjo (Medicine)20181992507626
Jacques Dubochet (Chemistry)20171981397536
Joachim Frank (Chemistry)20171975357742
Richard Henderson (Chemistry)20171975307242
Rainer Weiss (Physics)20171972408545
Jeffrey C. Hall (Medicine)20171984397233
Michael Rosbash (Medicine)20171984407333
Michael W. Young (Medicine)20171984356833

Source: Work years traced from the Nobel committees’ scientific background documents, one per prize [3]; birth years: Nobel Prize API [2]. The document and page for each laureate are in the CSV.

12 How we dated each breakthrough

  1. 01

    List the laureates

    Every laureate in physics, chemistry and physiology or medicine, 1901-2026, with birth date, sex and prize year, from the Nobel Prize API [2]: 668 prizes to 664 people.

  2. 02

    Date the prize-winning work, 1901-2016

    Li, Yin, Fortunato and Wang (2019) identified the prize-winning papers of 545 laureates from the references of their Nobel lectures and the prize records [1]. We take the year of each laureate’s earliest prize-winning paper as the year of the breakthrough. Two rows were wrong in their file: Wilhelm Wien’s 1893 displacement law is dated 1983, corrected from his Nobel biography [4]; Hans Fischer was given Emil Fischer’s 1894 paper, so he is left out.

  3. 03

    Date the rest by hand

    For the laureates of 2017-2026 and the early laureates Li et al. lack, we read the prize committee’s scientific background document or the Nobel lecture and took the year of the earliest key paper the committee cites by that laureate [3]. Each year in the CSV carries its document and a quote.

  4. 04

    Check the names we quote

    We checked 109 of Li et al.’s years against the Nobel lectures, presentation speeches and biographies on nobelprize.org: every laureate this page names, the youngest, the oldest, the longest waits, every woman and a random sample of 30. In the random sample 18 of 30 matched (within a year), 11 differed and 1 could not be settled; of the 11 that differed, 10 started earlier than Li et al.’s paper (by a median 6 years), because Li et al. picked a later paper of the same prize work. The sample’s median age moved from 36.5 to 35. Every year that differed was replaced by the checked one (31 in all) and the CSV notes the change; the ages of laureates we did not check may run a year or two high.

  5. 05

    Add the historical geniuses

    For the people in Catharine Cox’s 1926 study [6] we found each person in Wikidata by name and birth year, took their “notable work” with its publication date or, failing that, its creation date, kept only works dated to the year, after age 10 and before death, and chose the one with the most Wikipedia language editions [5]. We tried the same for the mathematics and Turing Award winners in our prize-winner data [9], but Wikidata dates a notable work for only 2 of 139 mathematicians and 22 of 79 computer scientists, too few to use.

  6. 06

    Count

    Medians with a 95% interval from order statistics (it assumes no particular shape of the ages), shares at 40 and 50 or older, and the wait from work to prize. One script computes every number on this page from the files above, and the CSV holds every row it used.

What this study cannot tell you

  • A prize-winning paper is not the same as a person’s best idea. The Nobel committee rewards one discovery, often the first paper of a long programme; laureates kept working, and some did their most cited work later.
  • The age is the year of the work minus the year of birth, so it can be one year more than the age on the day. Medians therefore move in half-years.
  • Prize-winning science is a tiny, select group: mostly men, mostly from Europe and North America, and the prize is never given after death, so people who broke through late but died early are missing.
  • Laureates are dated by the prize-winning work; Cox’s geniuses by the best-known work Wikidata records. The two measures are shown side by side, never pooled. Wikidata’s “notable work” reflects what editors listed and what is famous today.
  • 5 of the 668 science laureate-prizes could not be dated and are left out: Robert Bárány (1914), Christiaan Eijkman (1929), Hans Fischer (1930): the Nobel records give no year for the work; Barry C. Barish (2017), Kip S. Thorne (2017): the only paper of theirs the committee cites is the 2016 detection paper, which would misdate the work.
  • Our age is not a measure of intelligence. Nothing here says that a younger or older breakthrough means a higher or lower IQ.

Sources

  1. Springer Nature; Harvard Dataverse. Li J, Yin Y, Fortunato S, Wang D. A dataset of publication records for Nobel laureates. Scientific Data 6:33 (2019); data: "Prize-winning paper record", Harvard Dataverse, doi:10.7910/DVN/6NJ5RN, version 1. 2019. doi.org/10.7910/DVN/6NJ5RNCC0 1.0 (data); CC BY 4.0 (article)
  2. Nobel Prize Outreach. Nobel Prize API 2.1: laureates in physics, chemistry and physiology or medicine, 1901-2026. 2026. api.nobelprize.org/2.1/laureatesCC0 (data)
  3. Nobel Prize Outreach; the Nobel committees. Scientific background documents of the Nobel committees for physics, chemistry and physiology or medicine, 2017-2026, and Nobel lectures; one document per laureate in the CSV. 2017-2026. www.nobelprize.org/prizesFacts cited
  4. Nobel Prize Outreach. Wilhelm Wien, biographical (from Nobel Lectures, Physics 1901-1921). 1967. www.nobelprize.org/prizes/physics/1911/wien/biographicalFacts cited
  5. Wikimedia Foundation. Wikidata: notable work (P800) with publication date (P577) or inception (P571), date of birth and death, sitelinks; queries of 2026-10-28. 2026. query.wikidata.orgCC0
  6. IQ Metrics. IQ Metrics Research: The IQ of 301 historical geniuses (Cox 1926, Tables 12A-12B, transcribed). 2026. iqmetrics.org/research/iq-of-historical-geniusesCC BY 4.0
  7. National Academy of Sciences. Jones BF, Weinberg BA. Age dynamics in scientific creativity. PNAS 108(47):18910-18914 (2011). doi:10.1073/pnas.1102895108. 2011. doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1102895108Facts cited
  8. IQ Metrics. IQ Metrics Research: At what age is your brain sharpest? (peak brain age, 756,948 adults). 2026. iqmetrics.org/research/peak-brain-ageCC BY 4.0
  9. IQ Metrics. IQ Metrics Research: Universities with the most prize winners (age at the award). 2026. iqmetrics.org/research/universities-with-the-most-prize-winnersCC BY 4.0

Version history

  • 2026.1028 October 2026First release, with the 2026 laureates.
Leon Falkner

Leon Falkner, Data & Research Analyst. Leon owns the arithmetic on IQ Metrics: the percentile tables, the score converter and the figures in everyone else's drafts. On the research desk Leon pulls the data, builds each index and writes the method. More about Leon.

Questions

At what age do scientists make their greatest discoveries?

At about 39. Across 663 prize-winning breakthroughs in physics, chemistry and medicine (prizes 1901-2026), the median laureate did the work at 39: physicists at 35, chemists at 39, medical scientists at 39. The age has risen over the century, to 41 for work done from 1980 on.

What is the peak age of creativity?

It depends on the field and the era. Prize-winning scientific work peaks in the late 30s (median 39); 11% came before 30 and 11% at 50 or older. Physics breakthroughs were youngest in the 1920s and 1930s. Thinking speed itself peaks earlier: overall test performance at 25 in our peak brain age study.

Are there late bloomers in science?

Yes. 11% of prize-winning breakthroughs came at 50 or older, about one in 9. The oldest in our data: John B. Fenn, 72 at the work in 1989.

How old was Einstein when he made his breakthrough?

Albert Einstein was 26 in 1905, the year of the work that won the 1921 Nobel Prize in Physics: the law of the photoelectric effect. The prize came 16 years later, when Einstein was 42. Einstein was 26 in his "miracle year", 1905.

How long after a discovery does the prize usually come?

For prizes of 1920-1939, a median 8 years after the work; for prizes of 2020-2026, 30 years. Over every breakthrough we dated the median is 18 years.

Who made a prize-winning discovery at the youngest age?

Theodore W. Richards, at 19 (1887). The work behind the 1914 prize: accurate determinations of the atomic weight of a large number of ….

Use the data

Share it, cite it, download it

You may reuse everything on this page under CC BY 4.0: in articles, reports, lessons and posts. The one condition is credit to IQ Metrics with a link to this page.

Cite this study

Version 2026.10. Citing the version lets readers find the exact numbers.

Archived copy with a DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.23723883 (report PDF and data on Zenodo).

Falkner, L. (2026). How old were history's great minds at their breakthrough? (Version 2026.10) [Data set]. IQ Metrics Research. https://iqmetrics.org/research/age-at-breakthrough/ (DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.23723883)

Get the data

One row per person and breakthrough: 663 dated prize-winning breakthroughs in physics, chemistry and physiology or medicine (prizes 1901-2026) and 149 people from Cox’s 1926 study of geniuses dated by their best-known work (17 of them statesmen, soldiers or religious leaders, kept in the CSV but not in the charts), with birth year, work year, age, prize year, wait and the source of every year.

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Data dictionary
ColumnWhat it holds
name, group, fieldThe person; the group (Nobel Prize or Historical genius (Cox 1926)); the prize field or Cox's field group
sex, birth_yearSex as recorded by the Nobel Prize API (laureates only); year of birth
work_year, age_at_work, workYear of the breakthrough, the age that year (work year minus birth year) and the paper or work
prize, prize_year, age_at_prize, wait_yearsThe prize, the year it is named for, the age that year and the years from work to prize
year_source, year_source_urlWhere the work year comes from: Li et al. 2019, a Nobel committee document (with confidence), or a Wikidata work item
wikidata_id, nobel_id, noteIdentifiers and any correction made

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An IQ Metrics Research study dated 663 prize-winning breakthroughs in physics, chemistry and physiology or medicine (prizes 1901-2026), using the prize-winning papers identified by Li et al. (2019) and, for 2017-2026, the Nobel committees' scientific background documents. The median laureate did the prize-winning work at 39: physicists at 35, chemists at 39, medical scientists at 39. 11% of the breakthroughs came at 50 or older. The age has risen: from a median 36 for work done before 1920 to 41 for work from 1980 on. The wait for the prize grew from 8 years (prizes of 1920-1939) to 30 years (prizes of 2020-2026). Every person is listed in an open CSV. Source: IQ Metrics Research, https://iqmetrics.org/research/age-at-breakthrough/

Angles for a story

  • Prize week: the 2026 laureates receive their prizes in Stockholm on 10 December; how old were they at the work (table)?
  • October laureate season: the wait from work to prize, from the first prizes to 2026 (Figure 5).
  • Late bloomers all year: who broke through at 50, 60 or 70 (youngest and oldest).
  • Physics was young once: the quantum generation against today (Figure 3).
  • How old was Newton, Darwin or Einstein? Each has a card and a link (pick a name).

Quotes you can use

Attributable as written, with the name and title. For a different angle or a quote on a specific figure, ask through the contact page.

  • The lone young genius is the exception in our data. The typical prize-winning breakthrough came at 39, and the age keeps rising.

    Leon Falkner, Data & Research Analyst, IQ Metrics Research
  • The prize now arrives about 30 years after the work. Many of today’s laureates are honoured for something they did before their students were born.

    Leon Falkner, Data & Research Analyst, IQ Metrics Research
  • Physics was young once. In the quantum years of the 1920s, people in their twenties rewrote the field; that window has closed.

    Leon Falkner, Data & Research Analyst, IQ Metrics Research

Files

  • CSV of every person, with the source of every year (CC BY 4.0)
  • Every figure as a print-ready PNG: use the Image button under each figure
  • Share images for social media in three sizes, with the credit line built in
  • Citations in APA, MLA, Chicago, BibTeX and plain text

Terms, contact and corrections

Credit: “IQ Metrics Research, Age at Breakthrough 2026” with a link to this page. On air or in print, “IQ Metrics” and the page address are enough.

Data credit: prize-winning papers from Li et al. 2019 [1]; laureates from the Nobel Prize API [2]; best-known works from Wikidata [5]; the dating of 2017-2026, the checks and the analysis are ours.

Contact: the research team, through the contact page. Corrections are made on this page with a dated note in the version history.

Please say that the age is the age in the year of the prize-winning work (not the age at the prize), and that historical geniuses are dated by their best-known work.

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